Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 2.268838 2.399195 2.540606 2.706892 2.899116 3.117014 3.386786
2025-08-24 2.120642 2.281884 2.464041 2.688691 2.963841 3.298162 3.749947
2025-08-31 2.021102 2.200347 2.408545 2.674189 3.013985 3.450398 4.086652
2025-09-07 1.960776 2.155752 2.387652 2.692543 3.098404 3.648435 4.516562
2025-09-14 1.862248 2.057265 2.291939 2.605176 3.030872 3.624785 4.605898
2025-09-21 1.811244 2.012963 2.259307 2.594563 3.062747 3.742207 4.940363
2025-09-28 1.751483 1.954235 2.204268 2.549015 3.039543 3.771645 5.127426
2025-10-05 1.738171 1.952394 2.221016 2.599902 3.157303 4.033517 5.821967
2025-10-12 1.735158 1.962800 2.253368 2.673490 3.315274 4.388429 6.880282
2025-10-19 1.701067 1.931294 2.227908 2.662477 3.340183 4.514319 7.473179
2025-10-26 1.674585 1.908460 2.212714 2.664750 3.385581 4.684932 8.302760
2025-11-02 1.629074 1.858996 2.159101 2.607128 3.327160 4.643676 8.452255
2025-11-09 1.597461 1.828146 2.131474 2.589224 3.337992 4.752902 9.251160
2025-11-16 1.569022 1.800440 2.106859 2.574062 3.351503 4.869836 10.225434
2025-11-23 1.543482 1.775704 2.085252 2.561968 3.368768 4.998204 11.464061
2025-11-30 1.529154 1.765415 2.083250 2.579565 3.439856 5.265129 14.132755
2025-12-07 1.485509 1.714235 2.021563 2.500589 3.328264 5.072565 13.295405
2025-12-14 1.465484 1.694735 2.004493 2.491438 3.345429 5.203224 15.387187
2025-12-21 1.436624 1.662493 1.968226 2.450165 3.299483 5.166651 15.986625
2025-12-28 1.435610 1.668255 1.986642 2.497137 3.424689 5.609160 25.905463
2026-01-04 1.440244 1.681803 2.016693 2.564704 3.598772 6.268262 193.589617
2026-01-11 1.423127 1.664576 2.000799 2.554904 3.614629 6.446931 NaN
2026-01-18 1.410031 1.652646 1.992356 2.557187 3.656010 6.730108 NaN